Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.164939 0.186059 0.208297 0.233404 0.260907 0.290064 0.323257
2025-04-20 0.138059 0.166734 0.198554 0.236299 0.279655 0.327701 0.384769
2025-04-27 0.120800 0.154737 0.194119 0.242796 0.300919 0.367656 0.449616
2025-05-04 0.104932 0.141934 0.186666 0.244037 0.314920 0.398854 0.504915
2025-05-11 0.094165 0.133797 0.183496 0.249345 0.333144 0.435015 0.566876
2025-05-18 0.085884 0.127695 0.181907 0.255865 0.352487 0.472682 0.631536
2025-05-25 0.075900 0.118126 0.174734 0.254213 0.360727 0.496187 0.678799
2025-06-01 0.067902 0.110369 0.169114 0.253827 0.370038 0.520826 0.727757
2025-06-08 0.060878 0.103220 0.163590 0.252889 0.378112 0.543659 0.774613
2025-06-15 0.056656 0.099749 0.162857 0.258302 0.394714 0.577965 0.837226
2025-06-22 0.051467 0.094246 0.158655 0.258308 0.403507 0.601731 0.886127
2025-06-29 0.046748 0.088997 0.154359 0.257739 0.411182 0.623899 0.933154
2025-07-06 0.042273 0.083822 0.149941 0.256916 0.418713 0.646511 0.982118
2025-07-13 0.039136 0.080582 0.148271 0.260060 0.432029 0.677521 1.043480
2025-07-20 0.037091 0.079032 0.149146 0.267088 0.451265 0.717400 1.118242
2025-07-27 0.034143 0.075552 0.146570 0.268433 0.461826 0.744933 1.176029
2025-08-03 0.032258 0.073837 0.146784 0.274168 0.479192 0.782728 1.249320
2025-08-10 0.030746 0.072671 0.147819 0.281210 0.498725 0.824118 1.328670
2025-08-17 0.027969 0.068734 0.143712 0.279427 0.504184 0.844554 1.377725
2025-08-24 0.025658 0.065480 0.140562 0.279010 0.511667 0.868071 1.431679
2025-08-31 0.023479 0.062255 0.137208 0.277998 0.518027 0.889893 1.483434
2025-09-07 0.022372 0.061207 0.137804 0.283841 0.535705 0.929420 1.562467
2025-09-14 0.020637 0.058580 0.135209 0.283849 0.543629 0.953914 1.619158